More Random Sampling Methods
Contents
- Contents
- About This Document
- Specific Distributions
- Normal (Gaussian) Distribution
- Gamma Distribution
- Beta Distribution
- Uniform Partition with a Positive Sum
- Noncentral Hypergeometric Distributions
- von Mises Distribution
- Stable Distribution
- Phase-Type Distributions
- Multivariate Normal (Multinormal) Distribution
- Gaussian and Other Copulas
- Multivariate Phase-Type Distributions
- Notes
- Appendix
- License
About This Document
This is an open-source document; for an updated version, see the source code or its rendering on GitHub. You can send comments on this document on the GitHub issues page.
My audience for this article is computer programmers with mathematics knowledge, but little or no familiarity with calculus.
I encourage readers to implement any of the algorithms given in this page, and report their implementation experiences. In particular, I seek comments on the following aspects:
- Are the algorithms in this article (in conjunction with “Randomization and Sampling Methods”) easy to implement? Is each algorithm written so that someone could write code for that algorithm after reading the article?
- Does this article have errors that should be corrected?
- Are there ways to make this article more useful to the target audience?
Comments on other aspects of this document are welcome.
Specific Distributions
Requires random real numbers. This section shows algorithms to sample several popular non-uniform distributions. The algorithms are exact unless otherwise noted, and applications should choose algorithms with either no error (including rounding error) or a user-settable error bound. See the appendix for more information.
Normal (Gaussian) Distribution
The normal distribution (also called the Gaussian distribution) takes the following two parameters:
- mu
(μ) is the mean (average), or where the peak of the distribution’s “bell curve” is.
- sigma
(σ), the standard deviation, affects how wide the “bell curve” appears. The
probability that a number sampled from the normal distribution will be within one standard deviation from the mean is about 68.3%; within two standard deviations (2 times sigma
), about 95.4%; and within three standard deviations, about 99.7%. (Some publications give σ2, or variance, rather than standard deviation, as the second parameter. In this case, the standard deviation is the variance’s square root.)
There are a number of methods for sampling the normal distribution. An application can combine some or all of these.
- The ratio-of-uniforms method (given as
NormalRatioOfUniforms
below). - In the Box–Muller transformation,
mu + radius * cos(angle)
andmu + radius * sin(angle)
, whereangle = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 2 * pi)
andradius = sqrt(Expo(0.5)) * sigma
, are two independent values sampled from the normal distribution. The polar method (given asNormalPolar
below) likewise produces two independent values sampled from that distribution at a time. - Karney’s algorithm to sample from the normal distribution, in a manner that minimizes approximation error and without using floating-point numbers (Karney 2016)1.
For surveys of Gaussian samplers, see (Thomas et al. 2007)2, and (Malik and Hemani 2016)3.
METHOD NormalRatioOfUniforms(mu, sigma) while true a=RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0,1) bv = sqrt(2.0/exp(1.0)) // Or bv = 858/1000.0, which is also correct b=RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0,bv) if b*b <= -a * a * 4 * ln(a) return (RNDINT(1) * 2 - 1) * (b * sigma / a) + mu end end END METHOD METHOD NormalPolar(mu, sigma) while true a = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0,1) b = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0,1) if RNDINT(1) == 0: a = 0 - a if RNDINT(1) == 0: b = 0 - b c = a * a + b * b if c != 0 and c <= 1 c = sqrt(-ln(c) * 2 / c) return [a * sigma * c + mu, b * sigma * c + mu] end end END METHOD
Notes:
- The standard normal distribution is implemented as
Normal(0, 1)
.- Methods implementing a variant of the normal distribution, the discrete Gaussian distribution, generate integers that closely follow the normal distribution. Examples include the one in (Karney 2016)1, an improved version in (Du et al. 2021)4, as well as so-called “constant-time” methods such as (Micciancio and Walter 2017)5 that are used above all in lattice-based cryptography.
- The following are some approximations to the normal distribution that papers have suggested:
- The sum of twelve
RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, sigma)
numbers, subtracted by 6 *sigma
, to generate an approximate normal variate with mean 0 and standard deviationsigma
. (Kabal 2000/2019)6 “warps” this sum in the following way (before adding the meanmu
) to approximate the normal distribution better:ssq = sum * sum; sum = ((((0.0000001141*ssq - 0.0000005102) * ssq + 0.00007474) * ssq + 0.0039439) * ssq + 0.98746) * sum
. See also “Irwin–Hall distribution”, namely the sum ofn
manyRNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1)
numbers, on Wikipedia. D. Thomas (2014)7, describes a more general approximation called CLTk, which combinesk
numbers in [0, 1] sampled from the uniform distribution as follows:RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) - RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) + RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) - ...
.- Numerical inversions of the normal distribution’s cumulative distribution function (CDF, or the probability of getting X or less at random), including those by Wichura, by Acklam, and by Luu (Luu 2016)8. See also “A literate program to compute the inverse of the normal CDF”.
- A pair of q-Gaussian random variates with parameter
q
less than 3 can be generated using the Box–Muller transformation, exceptradius
isradius=sqrt(-2*(pow(u,1-qp)-1)/(1-qp))
(whereqp=(1+q)/(3-q)
andu=RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1)
), and the two variates are not statistically independent (Thistleton et al. 2007)9.- A well-known result says that adding
n
manyNormal(0, 1)
variates, and dividing bysqrt(n)
, results in a newNormal(0, 1)
variate.
Gamma Distribution
The following method samples a number from a gamma distribution and is based on Marsaglia and Tsang’s method from 200010 and (Liu et al. 2015)11. Usually, the number expresses either—
- the lifetime (in days, hours, or other fixed units) of a random component with an average lifetime of
meanLifetime
, or - a random amount of time (in days, hours, or other fixed units) that passes until as many events as
meanLifetime
happen.
Here, meanLifetime
must be an integer or noninteger greater than 0.
METHOD GammaDist(meanLifetime) // Needs to be greater than 0 if meanLifetime <= 0: return error // Exponential distribution special case if // `meanLifetime` is 1 (see also (Devroye 1986), p. 405) if meanLifetime == 1: return Expo(1) if meanLifetime < 0.3 // Liu, Martin, Syring 2015 lamda = (1.0/meanLifetime) - 1 w = meanLifetime / (1-meanLifetime) * exp(1) r = 1.0/(1+w) while true z = 0 x = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) if x <= r: z = -ln(x/r) else: z = -Expo(lamda) ret = exp(-z/meanLifetime) eta = 0 if z>=0: eta=exp(-z) else: eta=w*lamda*exp(lamda*z) if RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, eta) < exp(-ret-z): return ret end end d = meanLifetime v = 0 if meanLifetime < 1: d = d + 1 d = d - (1.0 / 3) // NOTE: 1.0 / 3 must be a fractional number c = 1.0 / sqrt(9 * d) while true x = 0 while true x = Normal(0, 1) v = c * x + 1; v = v * v * v if v > 0: break end u = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0,1) x2 = x * x if u < 1 - (0.0331 * x2 * x2): break if ln(u) < (0.5 * x2) + (d * (1 - v + ln(v))): break end ret = d * v if meanLifetime < 1 ret = ret * pow(RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1), 1.0 / meanLifetime) end return ret END METHOD
Notes:
- The following is a useful identity for the gamma distribution:
GammaDist(a) = BetaDist(a, b - a) * GammaDist(b)
(Stuart 1962)12.- The gamma distribution is usually defined to have a second parameter (called
theta
here), which is unfortunately defined differently in different works. For example, the gamma variate can be either multiplied or divided bytheta
depending on the work.- For other algorithms to sample from the gamma distribution, see Luengo (2022)13.
Example: Moment exponential distribution (Dara and Ahmad 2012):
GammaDist(2)*beta
(or(Expo(1)+Expo(1))*beta
), wherebeta > 0
.
Beta Distribution
The beta distribution takes on values on the interval (0, 1). Its two parameters, a
and b
, are both greater than 0 and describe the distribution’s shape. Depending on a
and b
, the shape can be a smooth peak or a smooth valley.
The following method samples a number from a beta distribution, in the interval [0, 1).
METHOD BetaDist(a, b) if b==1 and a==1: return RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) // Min-of-uniform if a==1: return 1.0-pow(RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1),1.0/b) // Max-of-uniform. Use only if a is small to // avoid accuracy problems, as pointed out // by Devroye 1986, p. 675. if b==1 and a < 10: return pow(RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1),1.0/a) x=GammaDist(a) return x/(x+GammaDist(b)) END METHOD
I give an error-bounded sampler for the beta distribution (when a
and b
are both 1 or greater) in a separate page.
Uniform Partition with a Positive Sum
The following algorithm chooses at random a uniform partition of the number sum
into n
parts, and returns an n
-item list of the chosen numbers, which sum to sum
assuming no rounding error. In this algorithm, n
must be an integer greater than 0, and sum
must be greater than 0. The method was described in Bini and Buttazzo (2005)14 and Mai et al. (2022)15.
METHOD UniformSum(n, sum):
if n<=0 or sum<=0: return error
w=1; nn=n-1;ret=NewList()
while nn>0
v=w*(1-pow(RNDU01MinMaxExc(),1.0/nn))
ret.append(v*sum)
w=w-v; nn=nn-1
end
AddItem(ret, w*sum); return ret
END METHOD
Noncentral Hypergeometric Distributions
The following variants of the hypergeometric distribution are described in detail by Agner Fog in “Biased Urn Theory”.
Let there be m balls that each have one of two or more colors. For each color, assign each ball of that color the same weight (a real number 0 or greater). Then:
- Wallenius’s hypergeometric distribution: Choose one ball not yet chosen, with probability equal to its weight divided by the sum of weights of balls not yet chosen. Repeat until exactly n items are chosen this way. Then for each color, count the number of items of that color chosen this way.
- Fisher’s hypergeometric distribution: For each ball, choose it with probability equal to its weight divided by the sum of weights of all balls. (Thus, each ball is independently chosen or not chosen depending on its weight.) If exactly n items were chosen this way, stop. Otherwise, start over. Then among the last n items chosen this way, count the number of items of each color.
For both distributions, if there are two colors, there are four parameters: m, ones, n, weight, such that—
- for the first color, there are ones many balls each with weight weight;
- for the second color, there are (m−ones) many balls each with weight 1; and
- the random variate is the number of chosen balls of the first color.
von Mises Distribution
The von Mises distribution describes a distribution of circular angles and uses two parameters: mean
is the mean angle and kappa
is a shape parameter. The distribution is uniform at kappa = 0
and approaches a normal distribution with increasing kappa
.
The algorithm below samples a number from the von Mises distribution, and is based on the Best–Fisher algorithm from 1979 (as described in (Devroye 1986)16 with errata incorporated).
METHOD VonMises(mean, kappa) if kappa < 0: return error if kappa == 0 return RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(mean-pi, mean+pi) end r = 1.0 + sqrt(4 * kappa * kappa + 1) rho = (r - sqrt(2 * r)) / (kappa * 2) s = (1 + rho * rho) / (2 * rho) while true u = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(-pi, pi) v = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) z = cos(u) w = (1 + s*z) / (s + z) y = kappa * (s - w) if y*(2 - y) - v >=0 or ln(y / v) + 1 - y >= 0 if angle<-1: angle=-1 if angle>1: angle=1 // NOTE: Inverse cosine replaced here // with `atan2` equivalent angle = atan2(sqrt(1-w*w),w) if u < 0: angle = -angle return mean + angle end end END METHOD
Stable Distribution
As more and more numbers, sampled independently at random in the same way, are added together, their distribution tends to a stable distribution, which resembles a curve with a single peak, but with generally “fatter” tails than the normal distribution. (Here, the stable distribution means the “alpha-stable distribution”.) The pseudocode below uses the Chambers–Mallows–Stuck algorithm. The Stable
method, implemented below, takes two parameters:
alpha
is a stability index in the interval (0, 2].beta
is an asymmetry parameter in the interval [-1, 1]; ifbeta
is 0, the curve is symmetric.
METHOD Stable(alpha, beta) if alpha <=0 or alpha > 2: return error if beta < -1 or beta > 1: return error halfpi = pi * 0.5 unif=RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(-halfpi, halfpi) c=cos(unif) expo=Expo(1) if alpha == 1 s=sin(unif) if beta == 0: return s/c return 2.0*((unif*beta+halfpi)*s/c - beta * ln(halfpi*expo*c/(unif*beta+halfpi)))/pi else z=-tan(alpha*halfpi)*beta ug=unif+atan2(-z, 1)/alpha cpow=pow(c, -1.0 / alpha) return pow(1.0+z*z, 1.0 / (2*alpha))* (sin(alpha*ug)*cpow)* pow(cos(unif-alpha*ug)/expo, (1.0 - alpha) / alpha) end END METHOD
Methods implementing the strictly geometric stable and general geometric stable distributions are shown below (Kozubowski 2000)17. Here, alpha
is in (0, 2], lamda
is greater than 0, and tau
’s absolute value is not more than min(1, 2/alpha
− 1). The result of GeometricStable
is a symmetric Linnik distribution if tau = 0
, or a Mittag-Leffler distribution if tau = 1
and alpha < 1
.
METHOD GeometricStable(alpha, lamda, tau) rho = alpha*(1-tau)/2 sign = -1 if tau==1 or RNDINT(1)==0 or RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1) < tau rho = alpha*(1+tau)/2 sign = 1 end w = 1 if rho != 1 rho = rho * pi cotparam = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, rho) w = sin(rho)*cos(cotparam)/sin(cotparam)-cos(rho) end return Expo(1) * sign * pow(lamda*w, 1.0/alpha) END METHOD METHOD GeneralGeoStable(alpha, beta, mu, sigma) z = Expo(1) if alpha == 1: return mu*z+Stable(alpha, beta)*sigma*z+ sigma*z*beta*2*pi*ln(sigma*z) else: return mu*z+ Stable(alpha, beta)*sigma*pow(z, 1.0/alpha) END METHOD
Phase-Type Distributions
A phase-type distribution models a sum of exponential random variates driven by a Markov chain. The Markov chain has n
normal states and one “absorbing” or terminating state. This distribution has two parameters:
alpha
, ann
-item array showing the probability of starting the chain at each normal state.s
, ann
×n
subgenerator matrix, a list ofn
lists ofn
values each. The values in each list (each normal state of the Markov chain) must sum to 0 or less, and for each statei
,s[i][i]
is 0 minus the rate of that state’s exponential random variate, and each entrys[i][j]
withi!=j
is the relative probability for moving to statej
.
The method PhaseType
, given later, samples from a phase-type distribution given the two parameters above. (The pseudocode assumes each number in alpha
and s
is a rational number, because it uses NormalizeRatios
.)
``` METHOD GenToTrans(s) // Converts a subgenerator matrix to a // more intuitive transition matrix. m=[]; for j in 0…size(s) m[j]=[]; for i in 0…size(s)+1: AddItem(m[j],0) end for i in 0…size(s) isum=Sum(s[i]) if isum<0: m[i][size(s)]=isum/s[i][i] for j in 0…size(s) if j!=i: m[i][j]=-s[i][j]/s[i][i] end end return m END METHOD
METHOD PhaseType(alpha, s) // Setup trans=GenToTrans(s) // Sampling state=WeightedChoice(NormalizeRatios(alpha)) ret=0 while state<size(s) ret=ret+Expo(-s[state][state]) state=WeightedChoice(NormalizeRatios(trans[state])) end return ret END METHOD ```
Note: An inhomogeneous phase-type random variate has the form
G(PhaseType(alpha, s))
, whereG(x)
is a function designed to control the heaviness of the distribution’s tail (Bladt 2021)18. For example,G(x) = pow(x, 1.0/beta)
, wherebeta>0
, leads to a tail as heavy as a Weibull distribution.
Multivariate Normal (Multinormal) Distribution
The following pseudocode generates a random vector (list of numbers) that follows a multivariate normal (multinormal) distribution. The method MultivariateNormal
takes the following parameters:
- A list,
mu
(μ), which indicates the means to add to the random vector’s components.mu
can benothing
, in which case each component will have a mean of zero. - A list of lists
cov
, that specifies a covariance matrix (Σ), a symmetric positive definite N×N matrix, where N is the number of components of the random vector. (An N×N matrix is positive definite if its determinant [overall scale] is greater than 0 and if either the matrix is 1 × 1 or a smaller matrix formed by removing the last row and column is positive definite.)
METHOD Decompose(matrix) numrows = size(matrix) if size(matrix[0])!=numrows: return error // Does a Cholesky decomposition of a matrix // assuming it's positive definite and invertible ret=NewList() for i in 0...numrows submat = NewList() for j in 0...numrows: AddItem(submat, 0) AddItem(ret, submat) end s1 = sqrt(matrix[0][0]) if s1==0: return ret // For robustness for i in 0...numrows ret[0][i]=matrix[0][i]*1.0/s1 end for i in 0...numrows msum=0.0 for j in 0...i: msum = msum + ret[j][i]*ret[j][i] sq=matrix[i][i]-msum if sq<0: sq=0 // For robustness ret[i][i]=math.sqrt(sq) end for j in 0...numrows for i in (j + 1)...numrows // For robustness if ret[j][j]==0: ret[j][i]=0 if ret[j][j]!=0 msum=0 for k in 0...j: msum = msum + ret[k][i]*ret[k][j] ret[j][i]=(matrix[j][i]-msum)*1.0/ret[j][j] end end end return ret END METHOD METHOD VecAdd(a, b) c=[]; for j in 0...size(a): c[j]=a[j]+b[j] return c END METHOD METHOD VecScale(a, scalar) c=[]; for j in 0...size(a): c[j]=a[j]*scalar return c END METHOD METHOD MultivariateNormal(mu, cov) vars=NewList() for j in 0...mulen: AddItem(vars, Normal(0, 1)) return MultivariateCov(mu,cov,vars) END METHOD METHOD MultivariateCov(mu, cov, vars) // Returns mu + cov^(1/2)*vars mulen=size(cov) if mu != nothing mulen = size(mu) if mulen!=size(cov): return error if mulen!=size(cov[0]): return error end // NOTE: If multiple random points will // be generated using the same covariance // matrix, an implementation can consider // precalculating the decomposed matrix // in advance rather than calculating it here. cho=Decompose(cov) i=0 ret=NewList() while i<mulen msum = 0 for j in 0...mulen: msum=cho[j][i]*vars[j] AddItem(ret, msum) i=i+1 end if mu!=nothing: ret=VecAdd(ret, mu) return ret end
Note: The Python sample code contains a variant of this method for generating multiple random vectors in one call.
Examples:
- A vector that follows a binormal distribution (two-variable multinormal distribution) is a vector of two numbers from the normal distribution, and can be sampled using the following idiom:
MultivariateNormal([mu1, mu2], [[s1*s1, s1*s2*rho], [rho*s1*s2, s2*s2]])
, wheremu1
andmu2
are the means of the vector’s two components,s1
ands2
are their standard deviations, andrho
is a correlation coefficient greater than -1 and less than 1 (0 means no correlation).- Log-multinormal distribution: Generate a multinormal random vector, then apply
exp(n)
to each componentn
.- A Beckmann distribution: Generate a random binormal vector
vec
, then applyPNorm(vec, 2)
to that vector. (PNorm
is given in the main page’s section “Random Points on a Sphere.”)- A Rice (Rician) distribution is a Beckmann distribution in which the binormal random pair is generated with
m1 = m2 = a / sqrt(2)
,rho = 0
, ands1 = s2 = b
, wherea
andb
are the parameters to the Rice distribution.- Rice–Norton distribution: Generate
vec = MultivariateNormal(
[v,v,v], [[w,0,0], [0,w,0],[0,0,w]])
(wherev = a/sqrt(m*2)
,w = b*b/m
, anda
,b
, andm
are the parameters to the Rice–Norton distribution), then applyPNorm(vec, 2)
to that vector.- A standard complex normal distribution is a binormal distribution in which the binormal random pair is generated with
s1 = s2 = sqrt(0.5)
andmu1 = mu2 = 0
and treated as the real and imaginary parts of a complex number.- Multivariate Linnik distribution: Generate a multinormal random vector, then multiply each component by
x
, wherex = GeometricStable(alpha/2.0, 1, 1)
, wherealpha
is a parameter in (0, 2] (Kozubowski 2000)17.- Multivariate exponential power distribution (Solaro 2004)19:
MultivariateCov(mu, cov, vec)
, wherevec = RandomPointOnSphere(m, pow(Gamma(m/s,1)*2,1.0/s), 2)
,m
is the dimension,s > 0
is a shape parameter,mu
is the mean as anm
-dimensional vector (m
-item list), andcov
is a covariance matrix.- Elliptical distribution:
MultivariateCov(mu, cov, RandomPointOnSphere(dims, z, 2))
, wherez
is an arbitrary random variate,dims
is the number of dimensions,mu
is adims
-dimensional location vector, andcov
is adims
×dims
covariance matrix. See, e.g., Fang et al. (1990)20- Mean-variance mixture of normal distributions (Barndorff-Nielsen et al. 1982)3:
VecAdd(mu, VecAdd(VecScale(delta, v), VecScale(MultivariateNormal(nothing, cov), sqrt(z))))
, wheremu
anddelta
aren
-dimensional vectors,cov
is a covariance matrix, andv
is an arbitrary random variate 0 or greater.- Mean mixture of normal distributions (Bhagwat and Marchand 2022)4:
MultivariateNormal(VecAdd(theta,VecScale(a,v)), cov)
wheretheta
is ann
-dimensional location vector,a
is ann
-dimensional “perturbation vector”,cov
is a covariance matrix, andv
is an arbitrary random variate.
Gaussian and Other Copulas
A copula is a way to describe the dependence between randomly sampled numbers.
One example is a Gaussian copula; this copula is sampled by sampling from a multinormal distribution, then converting the resulting numbers to dependent uniform random values. In the following pseudocode, which implements a Gaussian copula:
- The parameter
covar
is the covariance matrix for the multinormal distribution. erf(v)
is the error function of the numberv
.
METHOD GaussianCopula(covar) mvn=MultivariateNormal(nothing, covar) for i in 0...size(covar) // Apply the normal distribution's CDF // to get uniform numbers mvn[i] = (erf(mvn[i]/(sqrt(2)*sqrt(covar[i][i])))+1)*0.5 end return mvn END METHOD
Each of the resulting uniform random values will be in the interval [0, 1], and each one can be further transformed to any other probability distribution (which is called a marginal distribution or marginal here) by taking the quantile of that uniform number for that distribution (see “Inverse Transform Sampling”, and see also (Cario and Nelson 1997)21.)
Note: The Gaussian copula is also known as the normal-to-anything method.
Examples:
- To generate two correlated uniform random values with a Gaussian copula, generate
GaussianCopula([[1, rho], [rho, 1]])
, whererho
is the Pearson correlation coefficient, in the interval [-1, 1]. (Other correlation coefficients besidesrho
exist. For example, for a two-variable Gaussian copula, the Spearman correlation coefficientsrho
can be converted torho
byrho = sin(srho * pi / 6) * 2
. Other correlation coefficients, and other measures of dependence between randomly sampled numbers, are not further discussed in this document.)The following example generates a two-dimensional random vector that follows a Gaussian copula with exponential marginals (
rho
is the Pearson correlation coefficient, andrate1
andrate2
are the rates of the two exponential marginals).METHOD CorrelatedExpo(rho, rate1, rate2) copula = GaussianCopula([[1, rho], [rho, 1]]) // Transform to exponentials using that // distribution's quantile function return [-log1p(-copula[0]) / rate1, -log1p(-copula[1]) / rate2] END METHODThe T–Poisson hierarchy (Knudson et al. 2021)22 is a way to generate N-dimensional Poisson-distributed random vectors via copulas. Each of the N dimensions is associated with—
- a parameter
lamda
, and- a marginal distribution that may not be discrete and takes on only nonnegative values.
To sample from the T–Poisson hierarchy—
- sample an N-dimensional random vector via a copula (such as
GaussianCopula
), producing an N-dimensional vector of correlated uniform numbers; then- for each component in the vector, replace it with that component’s quantile for the corresponding marginal; then
- for each component in the vector, replace it with
Poisson(lamda * c)
, wherec
is that component andlamda
is thelamda
parameter for the corresponding dimension.The following example implements the T-Poisson hierarchy using a Gaussian copula and exponential marginals.
METHOD PoissonH(rho, rate1, rate2, lambda1, lambda2) vec = CorrelatedExpo(rho, rate1, rate2) return [Poisson(lambda1*vec[0]),Poisson(lambda2*vec[1])] END METHOD
Other kinds of copulas describe different kinds of dependence between randomly sampled numbers. Examples of other copulas are—
- the Fréchet–Hoeffding upper bound copula [x, x, …, x] (for example,
[x, x]
), wherex = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1)
, - the Fréchet–Hoeffding lower bound copula
[x, 1.0 - x]
wherex = RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1)
, - the product copula, where each number is a separately generated
RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1)
(indicating no dependence between the numbers), and - the Archimedean copulas, described by M. Hofert and M. Mächler (2011)23.
Multivariate Phase-Type Distributions
The following pseudocode generates a random vector (of d
coordinates) following a multivariate phase-type distribution called MPH*. In addition to parameters alpha
and s
, there is also a reward matrix r
, such that r[i][j]
is the probability of adding to coordinate j
when state i
is visited. (The pseudocode assumes each number in alpha
, s
, and r
is a rational number, because it uses NormalizeRatios
.)
METHOD MPH(alpha, s, r)
if len(r[0])<1 or len(r)!=len(s): return error
// Setup
trans=GenToTrans(s)
ret=[]; for i in 0...size(r[0]): AddItem(ret,0)
// Sampling
state=WeightedChoice(NormalizeRatios(alpha))
ret=0
while state<size(s)
rs=WeightedChoice(NormalizeRatios(r[state]))
ret[rs]=ret[rs]+Expo(-s[state][state])
state=WeightedChoice(NormalizeRatios(trans[state]))
end
return ret
END METHOD
Note: An inhomogeneous version of MPH* can be as follows:
[G1(mph[1]), G2(mph[2]), ..., GD(mph[d])]
, wheremph
is ad
-dimensional MPH* vector andG1
,G2
, …,GD
are strictly increasing functions whose domain and range are the positive real line and whose “slope” is defined on the whole domain (Albrecher et al. 2022)24.
Notes
Appendix
Exact, Error-Bounded, and Approximate Algorithms
There are three kinds of randomization algorithms:
-
An exact algorithm is an algorithm that samples from the exact distribution requested, assuming that computers—
- can store and operate on real numbers (which have unlimited precision), and
- can generate independent uniform random real numbers
(Devroye 1986, p. 1-2)16. However, an exact algorithm implemented on real-life computers can incur error due to the use of fixed precision (especially floating-point numbers), such as rounding and cancellations. An exact algorithm can achieve a guaranteed bound on accuracy (and thus be an error-bounded algorithm) using either arbitrary-precision or interval arithmetic (see also Devroye 1986, p. 2)16. All methods given on this page are exact unless otherwise noted. Note that the
RNDRANGEMinMaxExc
method is exact in theory, but has no required implementation. -
An error-bounded algorithm is a sampling algorithm with the following requirements:
- If the ideal distribution is discrete (takes on values that can map to integers and back without loss), the algorithm samples exactly from that distribution. (But see the note below.)
- If the ideal distribution is not discrete, the algorithm samples from a distribution that is close to the ideal within a user-specified error tolerance (see below for details). The algorithm can instead sample a number from the distribution only partially, as long as the fully sampled number can be made close to the ideal within any error tolerance desired.
- In sampling from a distribution, the algorithm incurs no approximation error not already present in the inputs (except errors needed to round the final result to the user-specified error tolerance).
Many error-bounded algorithms use random bits as their only source of randomness. An application should use error-bounded algorithms whenever possible.
Most algorithms on this page, though, are not error-bounded when naïvely implemented in most number formats (including floating-point numbers). (There are number formats such as “constructive reals” or “recursive reals” that allow real numbers to be approximated to a user-specified error (Boehm 2020)25.)
-
An inexact, approximate, or biased algorithm is any sampling algorithm that is neither exact nor error-bounded. This includes algorithms that sample from a distribution that is close to the desired distribution, but not within a user-specified error tolerance (see also Devroye 1986, p. 2)16. An application should use this kind of algorithm only if it’s willing to trade accuracy for speed.
There are many ways to describe closeness between two distributions. One suggestion by Devroye and Gravel (2020)26 is Wasserstein distance (or “earth-mover distance”), which they proved has a simple definition in terms of the quantile function (Theorem 8). Here, an algorithm has accuracy ε (the user-specified error tolerance) if it samples from a distribution that is close to the ideal distribution by a Wasserstein distance of not more than ε.
Examples:
- Sampling from the exponential distribution via
-ln(RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1))
is an exact algorithm (in theory), but not an error-bounded one for common floating-point number formats. The same is true of the Box–Muller transformation.- Karney’s algorithm for the normal distribution (Karney 2016)1, as well as Karney’s implementation of von Neumann’s exponential distribution sampler (Karney 2016)1 are both error-bounded, because they return a result that can be made to come close to the normal or exponential distribution, respectively, within any error tolerance desired simply by appending more random digits to the end. See also (Oberhoff 2018)27.
- Examples of approximate algorithms include sampling from a Gaussian-like distribution via a sum of
RNDRANGEMinMaxExc(0, 1)
, or most cases of modulo reduction to produce uniform-like integers at random (see notes in the section “RNDINT”). The following approximate algorithm for the Poisson distribution is another example (Giammatteo and Di Mascio (2020)19):floor(1.0/3 + pow(max(0, Normal(0, 1)*pow(mean,1/6.0)*2/3 + pow(mean, 2.0/3)), 3.0/2))
, wheremean
is greater than 50.Note: A discrete distribution can be sampled in finite time on average if and only if its so-called Shannon entropy is finite (Knuth and Yao 1976)28. Unfortunately, some discrete distributions have infinite Shannon entropy, such as some members of the zeta Dirichlet family of distributions (Devroye and Gravel 2020)26. Thus, in practice, an approximate or error-bounded sampler is needed for these distributions. Saad et al. (2020)29 discuss how to sample an approximation of a discrete distribution with a user-specified error tolerance, but only if the ideal distribution takes on a finite number of values (and thus has finite Shannon entropy). On the other hand, a distribution has finite Shannon entropy whenever—
- it takes on only integers 1 or greater and has a finite tth moment for some t > 0 (“long-run average” of values raised to tth power) (Baccetti and Visser 2013)30, or as a special case,
- it takes on only integers 1 or greater and has a finite mean (“long-run average”), or
- it has the form X + n, where n is a constant and X is a random variate whose distribution has finite Shannon entropy.
License
Any copyright to this page is released to the Public Domain. In case this is not possible, this page is also licensed under Creative Commons Zero.
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